Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 12.778858 14.961276 17.345248 20.135037 23.302102 26.777477 30.871265
2025-03-30 9.572719 12.664607 16.395755 21.190080 27.143056 34.244756 43.305905
2025-04-06 7.108229 10.412460 14.738858 20.728228 28.700477 38.831545 52.544681
2025-04-13 5.297173 8.501555 13.010743 19.667952 29.064855 41.647535 59.517405
2025-04-20 4.595187 7.948505 12.950698 20.722752 32.207067 48.214440 71.789683
2025-04-27 4.121215 7.621609 13.119044 22.048016 35.768873 55.553017 85.589111
2025-05-04 3.555334 7.026182 12.759755 22.480561 37.987161 61.072692 97.129558
2025-05-11 3.003775 6.342009 12.138176 22.383521 39.323566 65.319979 107.020847
2025-05-18 2.505621 5.652477 11.392714 21.960950 40.049881 68.624985 115.633901
2025-05-25 2.100959 5.058290 10.717766 21.552130 40.714227 71.817873 124.201856
2025-06-01 1.763939 4.530436 10.080023 21.113788 41.251047 74.791173 132.541753
2025-06-08 1.407353 3.881939 9.107715 19.929698 40.351509 75.302491 136.890646
2025-06-15 1.272492 3.727362 9.138149 20.724910 43.192155 82.495288 153.046750
2025-06-22 1.156983 3.599684 9.217337 21.649150 46.400242 90.623214 171.427836
2025-06-29 0.953235 3.196533 8.631860 21.149286 46.873253 94.004444 181.948896
2025-07-06 0.750503 2.735003 7.825827 20.065081 46.081837 95.032186 188.402950
2025-07-13 0.699040 2.693007 8.004457 21.137018 49.667790 104.268225 209.883942
2025-07-20 0.665113 2.695876 8.293101 22.484704 53.920745 114.993343 234.594951
2025-07-27 0.592793 2.556010 8.194061 22.924550 56.312910 122.337303 253.518365
2025-08-03 0.508852 2.350701 7.885225 22.825856 57.541961 127.509090 268.685431
2025-08-10 0.426223 2.120988 7.464982 22.396106 57.999698 131.180721 281.205872
2025-08-17 0.357036 1.915717 7.073043 21.980324 58.438254 134.820343 293.828654
2025-08-24 0.297942 1.726964 6.691014 21.534496 58.756911 138.217889 306.134782